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Iran’s regime is fast running out of options

IAEA
IAEA

Analysis by PMOI/MEK

Iran, January 28, 2020—On January 5, the Iranian regime declared it is taking the fifth and final step in reducing its commitments to the 2015 international nuclear deal (JCPOA). The regime officially stated that it would not have any obligations stipulated in the JCPOA. The regime’s goal in reducing its commitments was to press the EU to comply with the regime’s demands. The regime is in dire need of economic aid to save its economy from complete collapse and to fund its proxies and militias in the region. But rather than making the EU comply with the regime’s demands, the regime tightened the noose around its own neck.

On January 20, Zarif also threatened the West that the regime would exit from the nuclear non-proliferation treaty (NPT) altogether if Europe does not meet its obligations.

In his interview with DER SPEIGEL on January 24, the Iranian regime’s foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif stated, “The Europeans can’t buckle to Trump and then try to act like the strong man against Iran.” He also stipulated that Tehran won’t rule out negotiations with Washington, even after Qasem Soleimani’s death. Zarif had previously stated that he would never perform any major policy without the permission of the Iranian regime’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei.

The regime’s position clearly shows the weakness of the regime. This is while the regime drew many red lines with the U.S. after Qasem Soleimani’s death. The regime’s high-ranking officials including Zarif described the elimination of Soleimani as “violating Iraq’s sovereignty,” an “illegal act,” and “terror”. They also talked about a “harsh revenge” against the U.S. but now they are begging for a negotiation, thereby taking a great leap back.

One of the regime’s international affairs analysts Ali Bigdeli advised the regime to change its strategy internally and internationally. “It is necessary that the government slightly changes its strategy in the region and within the country,” he told Jahan-e Sanat state-run newspaper on January 25. “The statements of three European countries on triggering the dispute mechanism and the assassination of General Qasem Soleimani are two phenomena that show we cannot, and we should not expect any flexibility from the international policy,” he added.

Hassan Beheshtipoor, an Iranian regime expert on international affairs, also shed light on the regime’s dead-end in its international relations. “In this situation, levers are in hands of the U.S., and Tehran has no way except negotiating with the U.S.,” he told Jahan-e Sanat.

The Iranian regime knows that it has no popular base among the Iranian people. The Iranian people’s protests in recent months have shown the world that the Iranian people are seeking regime change in Iran and want to bring down the mullahs from power. Now the relation with the West has become even more important for the regime to postpone the overthrowing process. However, the Iranian people are those who will put the last nail on the regime’s coffin, and it’s just a matter of time.