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Iran: An uprising that turned the regime’s prospects into pipe dreams

Dec 2017 – Jan 2018 uprising in Iran (file photo)
Dec 2017 – Jan 2018 uprising in Iran (file photo)

Analysis by PMOI/MEK


Iran, July 10, 2019 - In his speech on July 3, Iranian regime President Hassan Rouhani showed once again how he and the entire Islamic Republic fear a popular uprising.

Iran newspaper, the government’s official mouthpiece, subsequently published an article referring to Hassan Rouhani’s statements.

“Rouhani has divided the years of his government’s activity into two periods where the turning point is the uprising of December 2017-January 2018. In this light, Rouhani sees those events as the beginning of a domino of developments that lead to the country’s current situation,” the piece reads.

“Aside from their domestic dimensions, the events of December 2017-January 2018 had also consequences on the international stage which Rouhani meant in his analysis of their impact on the current situation of the country. Fact is that in the eyes of foreign observers and especially the countries and movements that oppose the Islamic Republic regime, the events of December 2017-January 2018 meant that there is a serious rift between the government and the people of Iran,” the article further wrote.




“Based on this analysis, they [foreign countries] tried to change their approach in confronting the ruling political system [in Iran], because the illusion that you can bring the Islamic Republic to its knees from within had materialized in their minds once again. [U.S. President Donald] Trump’s decision to withdraw from the [2015 nuclear deal – JCPOA] and increasing economic pressures through sanctions were based on this very analysis and perspective,” the piece adds.

The state-run newspaper Jahane Sanat wrote on July 4: “Iran is in a situation that it has no option but to force Europe with its warning move and measure to implement its obligations under the JCPOA. As more time passes, the economic pressure on Iran will increase. Trump has implemented a threatening policy on the world stage to decrease Tehran’s oil sales to zero… That’s when Iran exceeded the 300 kilogram enriched uranium limit. That’s a huge risk, but Iran did this in order for the European Unions, especially France, Germany and the United Kingdom, to be forced to show some movement against U.S. pressures. Unfortunately, Europe is not in a position to resist against the U.S.”

“What Iran expects from Europe is delusional and is not in line with facts on the ground. That’s why we are witnessing Europe toughen its position compared to the past and warn Iran about abiding by the nuclear deal and its provisions, saying Tehran should not create a situation where Trump reaches his decision of military confrontation,” the newspaper further writes.

The article concludes: “Iran’s move is out of desperation and it risks decreasing its nuclear obligations in the hopes of a positive response. However, if there is no positive response, Iran will de-escalate because withdrawing from the JCPOA is not in our interest and will place all the countries against us. Iran must not withdraw from the JCPOA under any circumstances… Otherwise, while Iran’s oil sales have decreased and every path is blocked. Iran cannot prevail considering its weak economy and domestic problems. So for now, it has to take measured steps and these steps won’t go as far as leading to the defeat of the JCPOA because the situation is very difficult.”

Except for the above articles’ failure to mention the vital role of the Iranian resistance to pave the path and create the atmosphere for domestic uprisings, its undeniable success in coordinating international efforts, and introducing the Iranian plague on the global stage, the articles managed to describe the dilemma that the Iranian regime faces and its recent history pretty well.


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