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“Nitrate of dissent” may explode at any moment in Iran, state media warn

Scene of the November 2019 uprising in Iran
Scene of the November 2019 uprising in Iran

Analysis by PMOI/MEK

Iran, August 12, 2020—The state-run Asre Iran daily published a piece on Tuesday titled “Nitrate of Dissent—We should be careful of Iran becoming the next Beirut,” warning about the country’s powder keg society and comparing the status quo in Iran to that of Beirut and all of Lebanon. Dissent among the Iranian people is becoming very similar to the ammonium nitrate stockpiled in Beirut’s port and may explode at any moment, the piece explains.

The Asre Iran piece portrayed the grave concerns escalating among regime officials about the explosive nature of Iran’s society, especially the youth. “The ammonium nitrate stockpiled in Beirut’s customs was gathering dust for years in Warehouse 12 and no one was paying any attention to it. Many had even forgotten that a 2,750-ton bomb was stationed right next to them and would pass by carelessly day after day,” the piece continues.

“Suddenly, although with a small spark acting as a catalyst, that silent warehouse transformed into a monstrous explosion and Beirut, with all its glamor and beauty, crumbled in a few short seconds. Now this is very similar to our story and the large warehouse in Iran that may explode at any moment and level whatever there is in a matter of seconds.

“There is no use in minimizing this issue or denying it. Each and every individual in Iran knows about this and statistics provided by our government officials also prove this argument. The Iranian people are in grave dissent due to the circumstances of the past few decades.

“The scope of this dissent is wide-spreading, beginning from the economy, spreading to politics, religion, culture and all other aspects of life.”

This state-run daily described the only solution for the mullahs’ regime in the face of such protests and a new uprising as: “States have two options when faced with a restive public, especially if they are in majority. They have to either implement serious reforms, so the people put away their dissent or at least have hope or continue their current policies and evolve the dissent into protests.

“Continuing the status quo will transform dissent into protests, and the protesters, with the passage of time and the arrival of ripe circumstances, will have the ability to evolve into ‘overthrowers.’ The nitrate of dissent may explode at any time…” the piece concludes.

Interestingly, shortly after the publication, the article was removed from Asr-e Iran website.

Asr-e Iran website removed article warning about the explosive situation of the Iranian society

Asr-e Iran website removed article warning about the explosive situation of the Iranian society


The Fars news agency, an outlet linked to the regime’s Revolutionary Guards (IRGC), also published a piece comparing the protests in Lebanon to those recently seen in Baghdad and Iran’s nationwide November 2019 uprising.

“The ongoing unrest in Beirut is very similar to those in Baghdad and the November 2019 protests in Iran… the November uprising that was led by the PMOI/MEK and those opposing the leader, sought to force [Iranian regime President Hassan] Rouhani’s cabinet into resigning, weakening other state institutions and imposing its impact as a domino effect across the government,” the Fars article reads in part.

It is crystal clear that the mullahs’ regime knew from the very beginning the meaning of the Lebanese government being forced into resignation. However, the Beirut uprising began to increase pressures to such an extent that when slogans of the government’s resignation were raised it only took 12 hours for these demands becoming a reality in Lebanon. And Hezbollah and the Iranian regime failed to take any measures in response.

All eyes are on Lebanon now to see what the future holds following this initial resignation and how it impacts the mullahs’ regime and entire Iran dossier. What is certain, however, is that the horrific August 4 explosion in Beirut has changed the landscape across the Middle East against the Iranian regime significantly. And there is no turning back.