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The meaning of U.S. exiting the Iran nuclear deal

Donald Trump has pulled the US out of the Iran deal
Donald Trump has pulled the US out of the Iran deal

/ staff writer

 

May 8, 2018 - Fulfilling one of his key campaign promises after nearly 15 months into his term, U.S. President Donald announced today his decision to have the United States pull out of the nuclear deal, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).

Describing as a “regime of great terror” and “murderous,” said:

“United States will withdraw from the nuclear deal… If I allow this deal to stand, there will soon be an arms race in the Middle East… the highest level of economic sanction will go into effect. Any nation supporting ’s nuclear drive will be sanctioned… Powerful sanctions will go into full effect.”

also sent a message to the Iranian people.

“The people of America stand with you… The future of Iran belongs to its people,” he said.

After this major milestone, what is the meaning of such a monumental development for the Iranian regime?

At a first glance it is safe to say that the European Troika – France, Germany and the United Kingdom – failed in their attempts aimed at convincing to forgo abandoning the JCPOA ship. This also goes to tell that lacks the capacity to meet Washington’s demands, knowing any backtracking on its regional influence and ballistic missile program will render significant humiliations for their already dismal and depleting social base inside the country and among proxy militia groups across the Middle East.

Crippling sanctions imposed by the U.S. are very likely to return and specifically target ’s oil exports, considered this regime’s main lifeline. The consequences will be a return to “suffocating” circumstances, and parallel sanctions will also place ’s banks, shipping lines, foreign-based insurance protection and … in Washington’s crosshairs.

’s Central Bank will most likely come under severe sanctions and the U.S. administration may begin issuing warnings or ultimatums to those doing business with to either end such ties or face sanction consequences.

In such circumstances, even if European states decide to remain loyal to what will be nothing but a JCPOA corpse, no European company will be willing to do business with , knowing heavy fines will await them from the U.S. Treasury Department.

The U.S. exiting the JCPOA is a clear signal that will have to bear the consequences of sticking to its regional meddling and ballistic missile program, and has refused to cooperate with “anytime, anywhere” inspections at all sites (military and non-military). Obviously, the sunset clause has been slamming since day one is an issue Tehran was counting on to expand its nuclear weapons drive with full capacity.

In the past Khamenei has made his thoughts clear about any steps back:

“This downcycle has no ending. Following the nuclear subject, they raised the issue of ballistic missiles. Afterwards it will be human rights, then the Guardian Council, the Velayat-e Faqih (supreme leadership), and then the constitution and the Islamic rule.”

 

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