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Europe’s “JCPOA” and Iran’s regime in limbo

Crises engulfing Iran’s regime
Crises engulfing Iran’s regime

Analysis by PMOI/MEK


Iran, June 4, 2018 - The fate of the Iran nuclear deal and its consequences, such as leading to a European deal and/or the signing of an FATF bill, are currently under discussion in the Iranian regime’s parliament.

Founded in 1989, the FATF, or the Financial Action Task Force, is an intergovernmental organization aiming to develop policies combating money laundering. Iran’s regime succumbing to international demands to sign into this framework will have grave consequences. Refusing to do so has the potential of inviting even more punishing sanctions for Tehran.

The two governing factions in Iran are in disputes involving the future of this regime, to either enter further talks on new issues or stand firm on the status quo.

The faction close to Iranian regime supreme leader Ali Khamenei, having the last word on all domestic and foreign policies, believes any steps back and succumbing to conditions of further negotiations will render a series of setbacks, and eventually lead to the end of their regime as they know it.

The Iranian regime is facing a decision between death or committing suicide in fear of death. This is resulting in a series of major ups and downs for their entire apparatus, without any steps taken forward.

The current circumstances can be described as a see-saw: any of the two main parties stepping down will result in the demise of the entire regime.

Iranian deputy foreign minister Abbas Araqchi acknowledges the fact that Europe and the U.S. will eventually stand united, coming to realize the Green Continent literally cannot distance itself from America. (State TV – May 27, 2018)

In response to a question over why are the Europeans united in emphasizing their intention to safeguard the Iran nuclear deal, an Iranian regime “expert” explains, “I believe they intend to truly corner us in a room, in a prison,… If we continue to wait for the Europeans as we do today, it is tantamount to waiting for our neighbors to bring us food. At the end of the day, we’ll be sleeping hungry.”

Such circumstances provide the best opportunity for the West to reevaluate its appeasement policy vis-à-vis the Iranian regime. Senior Iranian regime officials understand the future only means choosing from bad and worse. Tehran’s short and long-term interests are in grave danger and U.S. pressures are demanding three very specific changes:

  1. Ending its regional influence, especially in Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Lebanon
  2. Ending domestic crackdown against the Iranian people and their organized opposition movement, symbolized in the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI).
  3. Ending the pursuit of weapons of mass destruction, including nuclear weapons and long-range missiles.

Only such a blueprint will realize peace and security in the Middle East and beyond.